Overview of Key Events
Berkshire Hathaway's 13F filing is about to be disclosed.
The deadline for investment institutions to submit their quarterly 13F filings to the U.S. SEC is next Tuesday (February 17) Eastern Time. It is expected that Berkshire Hathaway will release its report just before the deadline as usual.
In view of Warren Buffett's resignation as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway at the end of last year, this holdings report has drawn significant attention as the public seeks to understand the 'Oracle of Omaha’s' final moves during his last quarter at the helm of the company.
Key questions of market interest include whether Berkshire continued to reduce its positions in Apple and Bank of America and whether it liquidated positions previously established by Todd Combs, one of Buffett’s former key lieutenants.
Focus on the Fed’s minutes to be released next Wednesday.
Investors will also closely monitor the Fed’s minutes to be released next Wednesday to assess the divergence between officials supporting unchanged rates and those advocating for rate cuts.
HSBC analysts noted in the report, 'The minutes of the January meeting may provide detailed reasoning supporting the 'wait-and-see' stance, along with arguments for rate cuts, consistent with differing views expressed by several Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policymakers since the meeting.'
Market data indicates that the U.S. money market has fully priced in expectations of a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in July and anticipates cumulative rate cuts of approximately 60 basis points by 2026.
The U.S. Supreme Court has scheduled February 20 for delivering a ruling on the Trump tariff case.
The U.S. Supreme Court has designated February 20 as the next date for announcing rulings, with further decisions expected on February 24 and 25. The world is awaiting a potential verdict that could overturn former President Donald Trump’s signature tariff policy.
Federal government data shows that these controversial tariffs cost importers over $16 billion per month. If the court rules the tariffs unconstitutional, it would mark the biggest legal setback for Trump since his return to the White House. The case involves significant tariffs imposed on countries like Canada and Mexico.
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and fourth-quarter GDP.
On Friday, February 20, the December PCE data, often referred to as the 'Fed’s preferred inflation gauge,' and the preliminary reading of fourth-quarter GDP will be released. Bloomberg Economics forecasts that the core PCE price index may rise by 0.3% month-on-month in December, pushing the annual increase to 2.9%, indicating a slight year-end uptick in inflation. Despite disruptions caused by the U.S. government shutdown, the fourth-quarter GDP growth rate is projected to reach 3.0%, surpassing market expectations of 2.8%.
The 'AI Spring Festival season' reaches its climax, with DeepSeek’s new flagship model V4 potentially set for release.
During the Spring Festival of 2026, China's AI industry witnessed a flurry of flagship model releases. According to a JPMorgan research report, ByteDance, Alibaba,$KNOWLEDGE ATLAS (02513.HK)$and DeepSeek all converged for the 'Spring Festival season'.
DeepSeek V4 is expected to debut in mid-February, with a focus on enhanced coding capabilities. Internal preliminary tests indicate that V4 surpasses other top-tier models currently available in the market, such as Anthropic’s Claude and OpenAI’s GPT series, in terms of programming ability.
This Spring Festival battle is not only a competition of model performance but also a litmus test for consumer-grade AI 'blockbusters'.
The India Artificial Intelligence Summit will be held from February 14 to 20, with tech leaders like Jensen Huang and Google CEO in attendance.
From February 15 to 20, the first India Artificial Intelligence Summit will take place in New Delhi,$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$CEO Jensen Huang, $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ CEO Sundar Pichai, and other global tech leaders have confirmed their participation.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman plans to visit India during the same period. Although his participation has not been officially confirmed, OpenAI intends to hold several closed-door meetings and has invited investors and industry executives to a special event on February 19.
The 'longest in history' Spring Festival holiday has begun, with markets including A-shares and others in multiple countries taking a break.
The market holiday schedule is as follows:
February 16, Monday: U.S. stock markets closed for Presidents' Day; Mainland China, South Korea, Indonesia, Taiwan, Vietnam; Hong Kong and Singapore close early
February 17, Tuesday: Mainland China, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam
February 18, Wednesday: Mainland China, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam
February 19, Thursday: Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Vietnam
February 20, Friday: Mainland China, Taiwan, Vietnam
The earnings season for Hong Kong and U.S. stocks continues!
Key earnings calendar for the new week
Monday (February 16)
Keywords: BHP Group Ltd earnings report, early closure of Hong Kong stock market, US stock market closed
In terms of financial events, the first India AI Summit will be held in New Delhi from February 15 to 20, with global tech leaders such as Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, and Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google, confirmed to attend.
In terms of performance, $BHP Group Ltd (BHP.US)$ will announce earnings after the US stock market closes.
Market closure schedule: The Hong Kong stock market will close early, while the US stock market will be closed for Presidents' Day.
Tuesday (February 17)
Keywords: Berkshire Hathaway 13F filing, Medtronic earnings report
In terms of performance, $Energy Transfer (ET.US)$ 、 $Leidos (LDOS.US)$、 $Medtronic (MDT.US)$will announce earnings before the US stock market opens. In addition, $Amrize (AMRZ.US)$、$Cadence Design Systems (CDNS.US)$、$Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$、$Quantum (QMCO.US)$is scheduled to release earnings after the U.S. market close.
Wednesday (February 18)
Keywords: January FOMC meeting minutes, Occidental Petroleum earnings
In terms of economic events, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s January FOMC meeting will be released on February 18. The minutes are expected to show that policymakers’ support for an extended pause in rate cuts is increasing. However, Bloomberg Economics still believes that progress on inflation will allow for a 100-basis-point rate cut within the year.
In terms of performance, $Analog Devices (ADI.US)$、 $Moody's (MCO.US)$ 、 $Progressive (PGR.US)$will release earnings before the U.S. stock market opens. Additionally,$Coeur Mining (CDE.US)$、$Figma Inc (FIG.US)$、$Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$、 $Pan American Silver (PAAS.US)$is scheduled to release earnings after the U.S. market close.
Thursday (February 19)
Keywords: Walmart earnings, Newmont earnings
Earnings-wise,$Deere (DE.US)$、$Gold Fields (GFI.US)$、 $Wayfair (W.US)$ 、 $Walmart (WMT.US)$will release earnings before the U.S. stock market opens. Additionally,$Newmont (NEM.US)$、 $Opendoor Technologies (OPEN.US)$ will announce earnings after the US stock market closes.
Friday, February 20
Key points: Hong Kong stock market opening, Supreme Court ruling on Trump's tariff case, December PCE and preliminary GDP
In terms of economic data, on Friday, February 20, the 'Fed's preferred inflation gauge'—December PCE data and the preliminary Q4 GDP—will be released. Bloomberg Economics forecasts that the core PCE price index for December may rise by 0.3% month-on-month, pushing the annual rate to 2.9%, indicating a year-end uptick in inflation. Despite disruptions caused by the U.S. government shutdown, Q4 GDP growth is expected to reach 3.0%, higher than the market consensus of 2.8%.
On the economic events front, the U.S. Supreme Court has set February 20 as the next date for announcing decisions, with justices also expected to issue rulings on February 24 and 25. The world is anxiously awaiting a potential decision that could overturn President Donald Trump's landmark tariff policy.
In terms of performance, $PINE TECH (01079.HK)$ will release its earnings report.
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Wishing all fellow investors a successful new week ahead!
Editor/Lee